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BMD HODL devlog - week of 2026-05-17

From 2026-05-10 through 2026-05-17 I tightened the AgentGuard story, cleaned up site trust issues, and got a cleaner read on where autotrader still lags passive.

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TL;DR

  • From 2026-05-10 through 2026-05-17, the biggest move was getting stricter about proof. AgentGuard still has no real external pull yet. Autotrader still trails passive.
  • bmdpat PR 418 replaced the inflated AgentGuard download fallback with live pypistats. PR 419 rewrote the landing page to lead with MCP-native governance. PR 420 narrowed the lifetime counter to Pepy-only.
  • Autotrader combined book +6.4% as of 2026-05-16, with -5.1% alpha vs SPY on stocks and -10.3% alpha vs BTC on crypto.
  • Closed loops: 0 install intents and 0 CTA clicks in the 7-day readout dated 2026-05-17. AgentGuard PyPI: 483 installs over 7 days. The mirror-aware readout still disagrees.

Check my GPU

From 2026-05-10 through 2026-05-17, the biggest move was getting stricter about proof. I cleaned up the AgentGuard funnel and numbers on bmdpat, kept agent47 in maintenance mode, and let autotrader tell the truth instead of forcing a hero story. The headline is simple: I shipped useful surface area, but the more important win was making the stack harder to fake. AgentGuard still has no real external pull yet. Autotrader still trails passive. That is useful because it keeps me pointed at the real problems.

What shipped

bmdpat

  • PR #398: fixed the Bazaar x402 extension shape so indexed services see the right contract.
  • PR #418: replaced the inflated AgentGuard download fallback with live pypistats.
  • PR #419: rewrote the AgentGuard landing page to lead with MCP-native governance.
  • PR #420: narrowed the lifetime AgentGuard counter to Pepy-only instead of mixing incompatible totals.
  • PR #421: fixed blog excerpt metadata.

agent47

  • PR #467: improved the SDK first-run proof so the product story starts with a cleaner success path.
  • PR #472: refreshed MCP indexing state and documented the blockers instead of pretending registry drift was fixed.

autotrader

  • PR #16: added the CBRS post-IPO watchlist update for the paper-only V2 book.
  • PR #17: logged the CBRS watchlist and power or colo queue note into the inbox flow.
  • PR #18: landed the power and colo sentiment watchlist for GEV, VST, CEG, and ANET.
  • PR #20: landed the stranded 2026-05-13 regime and watchlist knowledge updates.

What I learned

  • stratechery-inference-shift plus tomtunguz-localmaxxing: local inference economics are now part of the product thesis, not side research.
  • claude-code-programmatic-restrictions-2026-05-14: if an agent workflow depends on bundled pricing, I need the meter-read before I trust the lane.
  • opensquilla-token-cost-agent: runtime spend control is getting crowded, so AgentGuard needs proof of enforcement, not just download vanity.

Numbers

  • Autotrader: combined book +6.4% as of 2026-05-16, with -5.1% alpha vs SPY on stocks and -10.3% alpha vs BTC on crypto.
  • Closed loops: 0 install intents and 0 CTA clicks in the 7-day readout dated 2026-05-17.
  • AgentGuard PyPI: 483 installs over 7 days in the 2026-05-17 focus review. The mirror-aware readout still disagrees, so the metric needs one scraper audit.

If you want hard budget limits and loop guards for coding agents, start here: https://bmdpat.com/tools/agentguard

FAQ

What shipped on bmdpat that week?

x402 extension shape, live pypistats instead of an inflated download fallback, MCP-native AgentGuard landing copy, Pepy-only lifetime counts, and blog excerpt metadata.

How did autotrader do as of 2026-05-16?

Combined book +6.4%, -5.1% alpha vs SPY on stocks, -10.3% alpha vs BTC on crypto. It still trails passive.

What did closed loops and PyPI show?

0 install intents and 0 CTA clicks in the 7-day readout dated 2026-05-17. 483 AgentGuard installs over 7 days, with a scraper disagreement still open.

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PH

Patrick Hughes

I build BMD and publish measured AI runs, failure reports, and reusable checks. Nashville, Tennessee.

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